| # | City | Market | Obs | Adj Remaining | AI Adj Rem | Bias | Avg Bias | AI Bias | Avg AI | Buffer | AI Buffer | Hours | METAR | Past Peak | Contract | Y | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Minneapolis
KMSP
|
LOW |
39-40°F
39-41°F
|
42°F (raw: 31) | 40°F (raw: 38) | +11°F | +7.8°F | +1.5°F | - | +3.0°F | +0.6°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | - | - | - |
| 2 |
New Orleans
KMSY
|
LOW |
68°F
68-74°F
|
71°F (raw: 68) | 71°F (raw: 68) | +2.5°F | +2°F | +3.2°F | - | +2.5°F | +3.4°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 3 |
Denver
KDEN
|
LOW |
35-36°F
35-38°F
|
37°F (raw: 29) | 36°F (raw: 28) | +7.5°F | +7.5°F | +7.6°F | - | +1.5°F | +0.9°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | >32°F | 62 | 48 |
| 4 |
Philadelphia
KPHL
|
LOW |
48°F
48-50°F
|
49°F (raw: 54) | 51°F (raw: 55) | -5°F | -4.5°F | -3.9°F | - | +1.0°F | +3.3°F | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | 47-48°F | 64 | 47 |
| 5 |
New York
KNYC
|
LOW |
52°F
52-52°F
|
53°F (raw: 52) | 54°F (raw: 47) | +1°F | +1°F | +6.4°F | - | ✗ +1.0° | ✗ +1.7° | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | 51-52°F | 59 | 48 |
| 6 |
Boston
KBOS
|
LOW |
51°F
51-52°F
|
52°F (raw: 45) | 53°F (raw: 47) | +6.5°F | +7°F | +5.8°F | - | +0.5°F | +1.8°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | - | - | - |
| 7 |
Los Angeles
KLAX
|
HIGH | N/A°F | 86°F | 87°F | - | - | - | - | ✗ | ✗ | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 8 |
Los Angeles
KLAX
|
LOW | N/A°F | 57°F | 62°F | - | - | - | - | ✗ | ✗ | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 9 |
Las Vegas
KLAS
|
HIGH | N/A°F | 76°F | 70°F | - | - | - | - | ✗ | ✗ | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 10 |
Las Vegas
KLAS
|
LOW | N/A°F | 48°F | 52°F | - | - | - | - | ✗ | ✗ | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 11 |
Seattle
KSEA
|
HIGH | N/A°F | 50°F | 49°F | - | - | - | - | ✗ | ✗ | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | - | - | - |
| 12 |
Seattle
KSEA
|
LOW | N/A°F | 41°F | 38°F | - | - | - | - | ✗ | ✗ | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 13 |
San Francisco
KSFO
|
HIGH | N/A°F | 71°F | 72°F | - | - | - | - | ✗ | ✗ | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 14 |
San Francisco
KSFO
|
LOW | N/A°F | 55°F | 53°F | - | - | - | - | ✗ | ✗ | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 15 |
Minneapolis
KMSP
|
HIGH |
41°F
39-41°F
|
75°F (raw: 64) | 56°F (raw: 55) | +11°F | +7.8°F | +1.5°F | - | -34.0°F | -15.2°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <61°F | 67 | 35 |
| 16 |
Denver
KDEN
|
HIGH |
37-38°F
35-38°F
|
70°F (raw: 62) | 61°F (raw: 53) | +7.5°F | +7.5°F | +7.6°F | - | -31.5°F | -22.9°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <58°F | 6 | 96 |
| 17 |
Oklahoma City
KOKC
|
HIGH |
39-40°F
37-40°F
|
71°F (raw: 73) | 64°F (raw: 67) | -2.5°F | -4.5°F | -3.1°F | - | -30.5°F | -23.7°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <70°F | 5 | 97 |
| 18 |
Phoenix
KPHX
|
HIGH |
64-65°F
62-65°F
|
88°F | 85°F (raw: 84) | -0.5°F | -0.5°F | +1.3°F | - | -22.5°F | -20.2°F | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <86°F | 4 | 97 |
| 19 |
Dallas
KDFW
|
HIGH |
50°F
48-50°F
|
72°F | 67°F | -0.5°F | -0.3°F | +0.1°F | - | -21.5°F | -17.2°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <70°F | 17 | 84 |
| 20 |
Chicago
KMDW
|
HIGH |
37-38°F
35-38°F
|
60°F (raw: 61) | 55°F (raw: 58) | -1.5°F | -1°F | -2.8°F | - | -21.5°F | -17.1°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <59°F | 12 | 89 |
| 21 |
Philadelphia
KPHL
|
HIGH |
50°F
48-50°F
|
64°F (raw: 69) | 62°F (raw: 66) | -5°F | -4.5°F | -3.9°F | - | -14.0°F | -12.0°F | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <65°F | 15 | 87 |
| 22 |
New York
KNYC
|
HIGH |
52°F
52-52°F
|
66°F (raw: 65) | 69°F (raw: 63) | +1°F | +1°F | +6.4°F | - | ✗ -14.0° | ✗ -16.9° | 19h |
No
NOT LOCKED: Missing...
|
No | <62°F | 8 | 95 |
| 23 |
Austin
KAUS
|
HIGH |
54°F
53-54°F
|
68°F (raw: 71) | 68°F | -3.5°F | -3.5°F | -0.7°F | - | -13.5°F | -13.5°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <69°F | 57 | 47 |
| 24 |
Boston
KBOS
|
HIGH |
52°F
51-52°F
|
64°F (raw: 57) | 65°F (raw: 59) | +6.5°F | +7°F | +5.8°F | - | -11.5°F | -13.2°F | 20h |
No
NOT LOCKED: Adjusted...
|
No | <58°F | 76 | 27 |
| 25 |
San Antonio
KSAT
|
HIGH |
57-58°F
55-58°F
|
68°F (raw: 70) | 69°F (raw: 67) | -2.5°F | -3.5°F | +1.8°F | - | -9.5°F | -10.6°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <68°F | 23 | 78 |
| 26 |
Miami
KMIA
|
HIGH |
76°F
75-76°F
|
85°F (raw: 83) | 82°F | +1.5°F | +1.5°F | +0.7°F | - | -8.5°F | -6.2°F | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <78°F | 1 | 100 |
| 27 |
Washington DC
KDCA
|
HIGH |
59°F
55-59°F
|
67°F (raw: 72) | 61°F (raw: 71) | -5.5°F | -5.8°F | -9.4°F | - | ✗ -7.5° | ✗ -2.1° | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <68°F | 8 | 93 |
| 28 |
New Orleans
KMSY
|
HIGH |
73-74°F
68-74°F
|
82°F (raw: 79) | 79°F (raw: 76) | +2.5°F | +2°F | +3.2°F | - | -7.5°F | -4.8°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <76°F | 6 | 100 |
| 29 |
Atlanta
KATL
|
HIGH |
64-65°F
62-65°F
|
70°F (raw: 71) | 68°F (raw: 67) | -1.5°F | -1.5°F | +1.7°F | - | -4.5°F | -3.3°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <69°F | 19 | 86 |
| 30 |
Washington DC
KDCA
|
LOW |
55-56°F
55-59°F
|
52°F (raw: 57) | 49°F (raw: 58) | -5.5°F | -5.8°F | -9.4°F | - | ✗ -3.5° | ✗ -6.2° | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 31 |
Phoenix
KPHX
|
LOW |
62-63°F
62-65°F
|
59°F | 60°F (raw: 59) | -0.5°F | -0.5°F | +1.3°F | - | -3.5°F | -2.0°F | 22h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 32 |
Houston
KHOU
|
HIGH |
70°F
69-70°F
|
73°F (raw: 74) | 75°F (raw: 72) | -1.5°F | -2°F | +2.7°F | - | -2.5°F | -4.9°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <75°F | 38 | 63 |
| 33 |
Houston
KHOU
|
LOW |
69°F
69-70°F
|
67°F (raw: 68) | 67°F (raw: 65) | -1.5°F | -2°F | +2.7°F | - | -2.5°F | -1.6°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 34 |
Miami
KMIA
|
LOW |
75°F
75-76°F
|
73°F (raw: 71) | 74°F (raw: 73) | +1.5°F | +1.5°F | +0.7°F | - | -2.5°F | -1.4°F | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | >72°F | 86 | 26 |
| 35 |
Atlanta
KATL
|
LOW |
62-63°F
62-65°F
|
61°F (raw: 62) | 62°F (raw: 60) | -1.5°F | -1.5°F | +1.7°F | - | -1.5°F | -0.4°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 36 |
Dallas
KDFW
|
LOW |
48°F
48-50°F
|
47°F | 44°F | -0.5°F | -0.3°F | +0.1°F | - | -1.5°F | -3.6°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 37 |
Oklahoma City
KOKC
|
LOW |
37-38°F
37-40°F
|
36°F (raw: 38) | 37°F (raw: 40) | -2.5°F | -4.5°F | -3.1°F | - | -1.5°F | -0.3°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 38 |
San Antonio
KSAT
|
LOW |
55-56°F
55-58°F
|
54°F (raw: 56) | 56°F (raw: 55) | -2.5°F | -3.5°F | +1.8°F | - | -1.5°F | +1.3°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 39 |
Austin
KAUS
|
LOW |
53-54°F
53-54°F
|
52°F (raw: 55) | 52°F (raw: 53) | -3.5°F | -3.5°F | -0.7°F | - | -1.5°F | -1.1°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | 53-54°F | 48 | 64 |
| 40 |
Chicago
KMDW
|
LOW |
35-36°F
35-38°F
|
34°F (raw: 35) | 33°F (raw: 36) | -1.5°F | -1°F | -2.8°F | - | -1.5°F | -2.1°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | 34-35°F | 60 | 90 |
Past Peak: Whether we're past the forecasted peak hour for high/low
Bias: How much NWS forecast was off for the most recent hour (hot = -, cold = +)
Avg Bias: Average NWS forecast bias across all hours today
AI Bias: How much AI forecast was off for the most recent hour
Avg AI: Average AI forecast bias across all hours today
Adj Remaining: NWS max/min expected in remaining hours, adjusted for NWS bias
AI Adj Rem: AI (GraphCast) max/min expected in remaining hours, adjusted for AI bias
Buffer: Obs vs NWS adj remaining (+ = obs already exceeds expected)
AI Buffer: Obs vs AI adj remaining (+ = obs already exceeds expected)
Contract: Kalshi contract closest to observed temp
Y/N: Current YES/NO prices (in cents)