| # | City | Market | Obs | Adj Remaining | AI Adj Rem | Bias | Avg Bias | AI Bias | Avg AI | Buffer | AI Buffer | Hours | METAR | Past Peak | Contract | Y | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chicago
KMDW
|
LOW |
62-63°F
62-70°F
|
71°F (raw: 67) | 68°F (raw: 66) | +3.5°F | -2.5°F | +2.2°F | - | +8.5°F | +6.1°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | 61-62°F | 23 | 79 |
| 2 |
New Orleans
KMSY
|
LOW |
68°F
68-72°F
|
73°F (raw: 68) | 72°F (raw: 65) | +4.5°F | +1.7°F | +7.3°F | - | +4.5°F | +4.3°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | - | - | - |
| 3 |
Denver
KDEN
|
LOW |
37-38°F
37-45°F
|
39°F (raw: 38) | 41°F | +0.5°F | -2.2°F | -0.5°F | - | +1.5°F | +3.8°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | 37-38°F | 31 | 84 |
| 4 |
Washington DC
KDCA
|
LOW |
64-65°F
64-70°F
|
66°F (raw: 68) | 66°F (raw: 68) | -2.5°F | -3.8°F | -2.3°F | - | +1.5°F | +1.8°F | 17h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | - | - | - |
| 5 |
Oklahoma City
KOKC
|
LOW |
64°F
64-68°F
|
65°F (raw: 64) | 67°F (raw: 65) | +1°F | -0.8°F | +2.5°F | - | +1.0°F | +3.0°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 6 |
Austin
KAUS
|
LOW |
71-72°F
71-74°F
|
72°F (raw: 70) | 71°F (raw: 69) | +1.5°F | +1.3°F | +2.8°F | - | +0.5°F | +0.3°F | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | >69°F | 73 | 58 |
| 7 |
Los Angeles
KLAX
|
LOW |
55-56°F
55-61°F
|
56°F (raw: 54) | 56°F (raw: 53) | +1.5°F | +3°F | +3.7°F | - | +0.5°F | +1.3°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | 54-55°F | 51 | 50 |
| 8 |
Miami
KMIA
|
LOW |
72°F
72-74°F
|
72°F (raw: 69) | 73°F | +3°F | +2°F | -0.6°F | - | ✗ +0.0° | ✗ +0.8° | 17h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | >71°F | 35 | 78 |
| 9 |
Denver
KDEN
|
HIGH |
44-45°F
37-45°F
|
68°F (raw: 67) | 64°F | +0.5°F | -2.2°F | -0.5°F | - | -22.5°F | -18.9°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <65°F | 13 | 89 |
| 10 |
Las Vegas
KLAS
|
HIGH |
62-63°F
59-63°F
|
84°F (raw: 82) | 79°F (raw: 78) | +1.5°F | +0.8°F | +0.7°F | - | -20.5°F | -15.5°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <79°F | 3 | 98 |
| 11 |
Philadelphia
KPHL
|
HIGH |
68°F
62-68°F
|
88°F (raw: 91) | 85°F (raw: 87) | -3.5°F | -4.1°F | -1.9°F | - | -19.5°F | -16.9°F | 17h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <89°F | 14 | 87 |
| 12 |
Atlanta
KATL
|
HIGH |
68°F
62-68°F
|
87°F | 84°F (raw: 82) | -0.5°F | -1°F | +2.1°F | - | -18.5°F | -15.6°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <85°F | 6 | 96 |
| 13 |
Washington DC
KDCA
|
HIGH |
69-70°F
64-70°F
|
89°F (raw: 91) | 86°F (raw: 89) | -2.5°F | -3.8°F | -2.3°F | - | -18.5°F | -16.2°F | 17h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <90°F | 9 | 92 |
| 14 |
Phoenix
KPHX
|
HIGH |
71-72°F
64-72°F
|
86°F | 84°F (raw: 81) | -0.5°F | +1.8°F | +2.5°F | - | -13.5°F | -11.8°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <83°F | 2 | 100 |
| 15 |
New Orleans
KMSY
|
HIGH |
70°F
68-70°F
|
84°F (raw: 82) | 86°F (raw: 80) | +1.5°F | +1°F | +5.2°F | - | -13.5°F | -15.5°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <81°F | 16 | 88 |
| 16 |
Minneapolis
KMSP
|
HIGH |
53-54°F
48-54°F
|
68°F | 66°F (raw: 65) | -0.5°F | -0.4°F | +1.1°F | - | -13.5°F | -12.3°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <62°F | 1 | 100 |
| 17 |
Oklahoma City
KOKC
|
HIGH |
68°F
64-68°F
|
81°F (raw: 80) | 81°F (raw: 78) | +1°F | -0.8°F | +3.3°F | - | -13.0°F | -12.9°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <76°F | 8 | 94 |
| 18 |
New York
KNYC
|
HIGH |
72°F
69-72°F
|
84°F (raw: 86) | 89°F (raw: 85) | -2°F | -2.3°F | +3.5°F | - | ✗ -12.0° | ✗ -16.7° | 17h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <83°F | 1 | 100 |
| 19 |
San Antonio
KSAT
|
HIGH |
73-74°F
71-74°F
|
86°F (raw: 84) | 82°F (raw: 79) | +1.5°F | +0.7°F | +3.3°F | - | -11.5°F | -7.8°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <81°F | 4 | 100 |
| 20 |
Austin
KAUS
|
HIGH |
73-74°F
71-74°F
|
85°F (raw: 83) | 82°F (raw: 79) | +1.5°F | +1.3°F | +2.8°F | - | -10.5°F | -8.2°F | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <81°F | 3 | 98 |
| 21 |
Houston
KHOU
|
HIGH |
73-74°F
71-74°F
|
84°F | 85°F (raw: 82) | -0.5°F | -0.5°F | +3°F | - | -9.5°F | -11.1°F | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <82°F | 7 | 94 |
| 22 |
San Francisco
KSFO
|
HIGH |
54°F
53-54°F
|
64°F (raw: 63) | 64°F (raw: 59) | +0.5°F | +0.5°F | +5°F | - | -9.5°F | -9.7°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <59°F | 4 | 98 |
| 23 |
Los Angeles
KLAX
|
HIGH |
60-61°F
55-61°F
|
70°F (raw: 68) | 73°F (raw: 69) | +1.5°F | +3°F | +3.7°F | - | -8.5°F | -12.1°F | 21h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <66°F | 2 | 99 |
| 24 |
Boston
KBOS
|
HIGH |
66-67°F
64-67°F
|
76°F (raw: 68) | 67°F (raw: 65) | +7.5°F | +5.9°F | +2.5°F | - | ✗ -8.5° | ✗ +0.0° | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <68°F | 69 | 40 |
| 25 |
Chicago
KMDW
|
HIGH |
69-70°F
62-70°F
|
78°F (raw: 74) | 74°F (raw: 72) | +3.5°F | -2.5°F | +2.2°F | - | -7.5°F | -4.4°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <73°F | 24 | 82 |
| 26 |
Miami
KMIA
|
HIGH |
74°F
72-74°F
|
80°F (raw: 79) | 79°F | +1°F | +1.8°F | -0.3°F | - | ✗ -6.0° | ✗ -4.9° | 17h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <77°F | 2 | 99 |
| 27 |
Dallas
KDFW
|
HIGH |
73-74°F
71-74°F
|
80°F (raw: 79) | 78°F (raw: 76) | +0.5°F | +0°F | +2.3°F | - | -5.5°F | -3.8°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | <76°F | 4 | 97 |
| 28 |
Phoenix
KPHX
|
LOW |
64-65°F
64-72°F
|
60°F | 63°F (raw: 60) | -0.5°F | +1.8°F | +2.5°F | - | -4.5°F | -1.2°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 29 |
New York
KNYC
|
LOW |
69°F
69-72°F
|
65°F (raw: 67) | 71°F (raw: 67) | -2°F | -2.3°F | +3.5°F | - | ✗ -4.0° | ✗ +1.6° | 17h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | >68°F | 76 | 53 |
| 30 |
Seattle
KSEA
|
LOW |
41°F
41-45°F
|
38°F | 39°F (raw: 37) | -0.5°F | -1°F | +2.6°F | - | -3.5°F | -1.8°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 31 |
Las Vegas
KLAS
|
LOW |
59°F
59-63°F
|
56°F (raw: 54) | 59°F | +1.5°F | +0.8°F | +0.6°F | - | -3.5°F | +0.1°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 32 |
Boston
KBOS
|
LOW |
64-65°F
64-67°F
|
62°F (raw: 54) | 53°F (raw: 51) | +7.5°F | +5.9°F | +2.5°F | - | ✗ -2.5° | ✗ -10.9° | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 33 |
Atlanta
KATL
|
LOW |
62-63°F
62-68°F
|
61°F | 61°F (raw: 59) | -0.5°F | -1°F | +2.1°F | - | -1.5°F | -0.6°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 34 |
Dallas
KDFW
|
LOW |
71-72°F
71-74°F
|
70°F (raw: 69) | 70°F (raw: 67) | +0.5°F | +0°F | +2.3°F | - | -1.5°F | -1.3°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 35 |
Minneapolis
KMSP
|
LOW |
48-49°F
48-54°F
|
47°F (raw: 46) | 47°F (raw: 45) | +0.5°F | -0.2°F | +2.3°F | - | -1.5°F | -0.7°F | 18h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 36 |
San Francisco
KSFO
|
LOW |
53-54°F
53-54°F
|
52°F (raw: 51) | 53°F (raw: 48) | +0.5°F | +0.5°F | +5°F | - | -1.5°F | -0.3°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
Yes | - | - | - |
| 37 |
Seattle
KSEA
|
HIGH |
44-45°F
41-45°F
|
46°F (raw: 47) | 45°F (raw: 44) | -1°F | -1°F | +0.9°F | - | -1.0°F | +0.4°F | 20h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | 45-46°F | 9 | 92 |
| 38 |
Houston
KHOU
|
LOW |
71-72°F
71-74°F
|
71°F | 71°F (raw: 68) | -0.5°F | -0.5°F | +3°F | - | -0.5°F | +0.0°F | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 39 |
San Antonio
KSAT
|
LOW |
71°F
71-74°F
|
71°F (raw: 69) | 72°F (raw: 68) | +1.5°F | +0.5°F | +3.3°F | - | -0.5°F | +0.5°F | 19h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | - | - | - |
| 40 |
Philadelphia
KPHL
|
LOW |
62-63°F
62-68°F
|
62°F (raw: 65) | 66°F (raw: 68) | -3.5°F | -4.1°F | -1.9°F | - | -0.5°F | +4.3°F | 17h |
No
No METAR data
|
No | 62-63°F | 95 | 21 |
Past Peak: Whether we're past the forecasted peak hour for high/low
Bias: How much NWS forecast was off for the most recent hour (hot = -, cold = +)
Avg Bias: Average NWS forecast bias across all hours today
AI Bias: How much AI forecast was off for the most recent hour
Avg AI: Average AI forecast bias across all hours today
Adj Remaining: NWS max/min expected in remaining hours, adjusted for NWS bias
AI Adj Rem: AI (GraphCast) max/min expected in remaining hours, adjusted for AI bias
Buffer: Obs vs NWS adj remaining (+ = obs already exceeds expected)
AI Buffer: Obs vs AI adj remaining (+ = obs already exceeds expected)
Contract: Kalshi contract closest to observed temp
Y/N: Current YES/NO prices (in cents)